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2024-12-14 11:35:06

Minsheng Securities: The six key signals of the economic work conference. According to the macro team research report of Minsheng Securities, the economic work conference gave "from point to face" answers to the questions raised by the Politburo meeting. Therefore, in order to grasp the main economic line next year, we think the following six signals are very critical: First, face up to external and internal problems and risks more frankly. Second, directly "winning numbers" raised the deficit, which is rarely seen in history. Third, the importance and determination to boost consumption are unprecedented. Fourth, monetary policy focuses on continuity and strength, and completes the cooperation with finance. Fifth, stabilize the property market and the stock market, and make clear that the bottom may be the most important at present. Sixth, the new idea of the supply side-rectifying the "involution".Fiscal and monetary policies will continue to be strengthened. Next year, we will emphasize the "combination boxing". In 2025, China will "implement a more active and promising macro policy". According to the deployment of the Central Economic Work Conference, as two important pillars in the macroeconomic governance system, fiscal policy will be "more active" than before, maintaining policy continuity and releasing the determination to overweight policies; Monetary policy will turn to "moderate easing" and continue to adhere to the position of supportive monetary policy. "Precious policy tools should be used at critical stages." Insiders say that in the stage of insufficient effective credit demand and weak market expectations, boost market confidence; At the stage of accelerating the issuance of government bonds, supporting a more active fiscal policy is effective and laying a good policy "combination boxing". (Securities Times)Fitch: The neutral outlook of global protein in 2025 reflects that global consumption will remain stable as consumer demand shifts to lower-priced chicken and pork.


Banks prepare for personal pension account opening. Marketing insurance companies lay out early to seize the opportunity. The year-end and year-end are the last moment of personal pension annual payment. On December 12, the personal pension system ushered in expansion. The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and other five departments issued the "Notice on the Full Implementation of the Personal Pension System", saying that since December 15th, the personal pension system has been pushed from 36 pilot cities (regions) to the whole country. The reporter learned that as the "entrance" of individual pension accounts, banks are actively preparing for account opening marketing. For example, many banks have launched preferential activities for opening accounts and paying personal pensions by appointment, and activities such as reduction of funds, payment ceremony and lottery withdrawal have taken turns. As an in-depth participant in the individual pension system, insurance companies have also made positive statements and will seize the historical opportunity to participate more deeply in the construction of the third pillar of the pension system. (SSE)Market News: The European Central Bank is prepared to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the next two meetings.U.S. policy outlook is uncertain. Lagarde lamented that the EU would "ask for it" for political uncertainty. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the monetary policy decision of policymakers on Thursday was shrouded in the turbulent political situation in Europe. Although Lagarde did not directly mention the collapse of the French and German governments in recent weeks, she pointed out that it is not conducive to the central bank's decision-making to keep the fiscal plan and election results in suspense. At present, policymakers are still paying attention to the impact of Donald Trump's return to power. "We hope that many things will become clear in the coming months," Lagarde told reporters. "If we have discussed anything in the past two days, it is the uncertainty we are facing, whether it is the political situation from some member States or the US policy."


The "2024 Congdu International Forum" was held in Madrid, Spain, and the "2024 Congdu International Forum" co-sponsored by the Chinese People's Association for Friendship with Foreign Countries, the Australian-China Friendship Exchange Association, the Guangdong Provincial People's Government and the World Leaders Alliance was held in Madrid, Spain from 11th to 12th.The Israeli army said that it "seriously damaged" the Syrian air defense system and destroyed more than 90% of its surface-to-air missiles. The Israel Defense Forces issued a statement on the 12th that it had "seriously damaged" the Syrian air defense system and destroyed more than 90% of the identified surface-to-air missiles. The statement said that in recent weeks, the Israel Defense Forces have been conducting a comprehensive assessment of the situation in Syria. The Israeli Air Force has formulated a "comprehensive strike plan" aimed at destroying Syria's powerful military capabilities in the face of escalating regional tensions. In the past few days, hundreds of Israeli air force fighters and other aircraft launched coordinated strikes, which dealt a major blow to Syria's "most strategic weapon system."The Hang Seng Index closed down 1.23% overnight at 20,219.000 points. The Hang Seng Technology Index closed down 1.41% at 4,556.00 points overnight.

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